most accurate deep ball qb 2021most accurate deep ball qb 2021

His TD-INT ratio of 10:1 explains his stellar rating, but what's even more encouraging about Carr's performance was how well he played when under duress.

Ryan Tannehill posted a 100.9 passer rating, a 5:2 TD-to-INT ratio and a CPOE of +4.2 percent on deep throws, but gained just 514 yards (last among qualifiers) via those attempts. Deep attempts: 23-of-47, 714 yards, 5:2 TD-to-INT ratio, 112.7 passer rating. This is a prime example of that. Aaron Rodgers might be the most accurate quarterback in the league, and hes certainly one of the most careful. Initially, this looked like it might help, because in his first start for the Pats, Sanu had 10 catches for 81 yards. Blood Collection at Home No Need to Go Anywhere. If we made it 20 additional deep bombs (the approximate difference between Stafford and Mahomes) and took a slightly more conservative average of 30 yards per play, this would give Goff an 8.1 ypa number. Herbert recorded the most short pass attempts (315) of any quarterback on the list. Stroud was even better in 2021 with one less game played, throwing for 4,424 yards, 44 touchdowns, and a 130.8 passer rating. Would Carson Wentz have succeeded if he had been with the Bucs this year instead of the Eagles? PFF NFL Mock Draft: Rams trade up for Will Levis, Todd McShay 2-round NFL Mock Draft: Rams get former 5-star talent in secondary. The accuracy is there in the intermediate and short game as well. Deep ball crazy Patrick Mahomes launched bombs at a rate of about 12%. You'll now receive the top Vikings Wire stories each day directly in your inbox. * Away/Neutral Games qualifier is on pace for at least 80 pass attempts. This year, the Titans lost in the wild card round. His QBR, QB rating, yards per attempt and completion rate declined each year from 2016 to 2019. The guy couldn't hit the broad side of a barn. The 2022 NFL Draft class for quarterbacks has changed plenty during the 2021 college football season. While his reads were a little slow, hes shown more consistency and upside than every quarterback in the draft not named Trevor Lawrence. So, while he was slightly better than he had been in 2017, he was still a poor deep ball passer in 2018. Goff can be part of the solution, but there needs to be a fuller commitment from the Rams from both a scheme and personnel standpoint to emphasize the deep pass.

In 2017, they acquired former 1st round pick, Phillip Dorsett from the Colts, a speedster with 4.33 speed in the 40. Against the Niners this year, Goff makes almost exactly the same throw, only this time to the right instead of to the left. His accuracy percentage ranked 19th. So, which QB is better, Wilson or Cousins? It isn't the fault of Cousins that the Vikings defense is so much worse than the Rams defense, but by the same token, was Cousins really any more impressive than Goff when facing the same level of opposition? He took the full-time starting role entering the 2022 season. From position ranks to power rankings, you can find it all at PFF. Thompson-Robinson not only hits it easily, but he leads the receiver for more yards after the catch. Marshon Lattimore gives him a 10 yard cushion and a free release. I mean, consider these stats: Cousins: 67.6% completions, 4,265 yards, 8.3 ypa, 35 TDs, 13 INTs, 39 sacks, 105 rating, Russell Wilson: 68.8% compl, 4,212 yards, 7.5 ypa, 40 TDs, 13 INTs, 47 sacks, 105.1 rating. This was one of the lowest rates among starting QBs. Justin Herbert, Chargers Mar 4, 2022 at 9:13 AM. His accuracy rate was 35.4%, which is lackluster. This is a prime example of a good read but poor throw. Your newfound king has finally received his recognition on this list. That was more attempts than the previous 2 seasons combined. Watson had poor accuracy rates on deep balls (Kinsley categorizes accuracy separate from completion percentage, because he visually watches each throw and adjusts for things such as dropped passes, hail mary throws, etc. Deep attempts: 23-of-58, 874 yards, 8:0 TD-to-INT ratio, 126.8 passer rating. The former first overall pick was excellent in 2020 when it came to targeting receivers downfield and continued what he started in 2019, finishing 2020 as one of only four quarterbacks with a CPOE of +6 percent or better in each of the last two seasons (the others: Deshaun Watson, Kirk Cousins and Russell Wilson). On all passes over 20 air yards, Watson's accuracy was exactly equal to the league average, ranking him 18th in the NFL (Goff was 8th.) alto ts315 vs ev zlx 15p We relied on a group of metrics to rank the qualifying passers. In 2018, Cousins was called a free agent bust, but I thought some of that criticism was unfair. WebVisit ESPN to view College Football Total QBR for the current and previous seasons Unfortunately, the Texans only won 4 games and had a miserable season. The 3 year accuracy rate on deep bombs for Cousins from 2017 to 2019, 41.5%, is virtually identical to the accuracy rate for Jared Goff from the same time period, 41.3%. The pass isn't caught, but it is a 52 yard bomb once again dropped in at a steep angle. * All Games qualifier is on pace for at least 200 pass attempts. It is hard to tell if Tannehill is really any better individually than he was in Miami, but the offensive support around him is better. We looked at the play-action pass game in the CLE offense on a deep ball throw for QB Baker Mayfield. Goff went 183-for-233 for 1,487 yards and six touchdowns on such throws. As you'd expect, I was left with a strong group of qualified passers, but there are some notable omissions from the top 10. CeeDee Lamb could emerge as a top-five receiver; plus, candidates for the cover of 'Madden NFL 23', NFL's most underappreciated players: Hunter Renfrow, Chuck Clark among AFC picks, NFL's most underappreciated players: DK Metcalf, David Montgomery among NFC picks. The supposedly over the hill and declining QB suddenly stopped declining. Tannehill played with a solid Titans OL in 2020 (even though they lost Lewan to injury and Conklin to free agency), arguably the best RB in the league who ran for over 2,000 yards, 1st round type talent at WR with AJ Brown and Corey Davis and some decent complementary pieces with players like Jonnu Smith and Adam Humphries. Thats what a lot of people are concerned about and what they mean when they say he struggles with his reads and anticipation. Goff had the 4th best accuracy between 20 and 30 yards among QBs with at least 20 attempts. Approximately one additional deep completion per game. Fittingly, Goff and Stafford were both tied for 19th in the Deep Ball Project rankings in 2019. A few other QBs who had low completion deep ball rates included Joe Burrow at 20.5%, Big Ben at 27.7% and Carson Wentz at 30.8%. He left in free agency after that season and went to Tampa. Discover Next Gen Stats News, Charts, and Statistics. In 2016, DJax had a 1,000 yard season. This is a 53 yard bomb thrown high in the air. Forced to open up the offense late in the season and in their playoff loss to the Browns, we saw Roethlisberger throw a bunch of INTs and near INTs. Despite being a rookie who was often under pressure, Herbert delivered with a CPOE of +9.1. The other three quarterbacks I listed rank 10th, 11th, and seventh in the NFL respectively in Intended Air Yards per Pass Attempt (IAY/PA), meaning they throw the ball The GSOT Rams would have fumbles and INTs, but they were so explosive they could overcome those mistakes. Does that make Herbert a younger version of Matt Stafford? More yards per game, more yards per attempt, better overall efficiency. Jared Goff had 9 starts against top 16 pass defenses and 6 starts against bottom 16 pass defenses. He was 31/58. Thompson-Robinson sees whats going on in front of him and exploits it well. Kaepernick proved to be an outstanding deep-ball passer during his rookie season, connecting on 25-of-49 throws 20-plus yards down field. Tannehill was accurate on 34.6% of his deep bombs, a mediocre percentage (if you took out Goff's strong 2018 season and just averaged his less impressive 2017 and 2019 years, Goff still has a 35.4% deep bomb accuracy rate.). Not all of this can be blamed on the bad Bengals offensive line or that their WRs are high quality intermediate type targets, but not good deep threat WRs, or placed at the feet of Zac Taylor, the head coach. This included several games against teams at the very bottom, including the Falcons (32nd), twice against the Lions (30th), the Titans (29th), the Seahawks (31st, this game happened early in the season when they were struggling, before they turned their defense around), and the Jags (27th).

If Stafford had been more accurate in 2017, he would have had an even bigger jump. His completion rate was about 30%. From scouting reports to mock drafts and exploring different scenarios, we will be covering the NFL draft and the future of the Minnesota Vikings from all angles.

Web[SIS Football] Most accurate QB by throw depth: 0-9 yards = Kyler Murray (89% on-tgt) 10-19 yards = Lamar Jackson (85%) 20+ yards = Kyler Murray (82%) twitter This thread is archived New comments cannot be posted and votes cannot be cast 803 130 Related Topics NFL Professional football Professional sport Football Sports 130 comments Best bklj2007 In 2017, Brady's had 19 accurate deep bombs on 54 attempts. How crazy is it that this would even be a valid question?

The results are in!

In 2019, Goff's numbers slipped in most of the same categories. Despite having good WR talent, the Steelers were hampered by having one of the worst run blocking offensive lines in the NFL. He can take off and burn you with 4.40 speed and has all the tools you could dream of in a prospect. Stroud was even better in 2021 with one less game played, throwing for 4,424 yards, 44 touchdowns, and a 130.8 passer rating. That was more attempts than the previous 2 seasons combined. Shot Zone situation Baker Mayfield was accurate on 29 of 52 deep passes (55.8%) last season. I don't look at Joe Burrow's horrific 20.5% deep completion rate in 2020 and conclude that he can't throw deep. He was 10th best on throws over 30 yards among QBs with at least 20 attempts. His 12 deep completions off play-action were the third-most in the league, driving home what we all observed in 2020: The Browns are at their best when they use a run-first foundation and catch the defense napping when going to the air. In all, we were reminded of what we already knew: Rodgers is a fantastic passer downfield, and the Packers aren't afraid to use his talents to their advantage.

This year, Goff had 42 deep attempts, approximately one fewer deep attempts per game compared to 2018. Stafford's deep pass completion rate this year (38.7% on 24/62 passes) is just a hair better than Justin Herbert (37.7% on 23/61 passes.) This accuracy rate was over 5% higher than the 2 year average for Patrick Mahomes from 2018 and 2019 (to be fair, Gardner Minshew actually had a slightly higher accuracy rate on deep bombs than Watson in 2019.) Daniel Jones, New York Giants 2. Next Gen Stats' top 10 pass catchers of 2020: Stefon Diggs and Davante Adams rank high, but not No. His stellar marks proved he's plenty dangerous when letting it rip downfield. Are the Colts going to move up for a quarterback? ; In the second, Burrow threw a well-placed deep ball to Higgins for a 32-yard score down the right sideline. Arm talent. How would this experienced group match up against the rest of the league? Rodgers had the second-most deep pass attempts of any qualifying quarterback in the NFL in 2020 with 74, which explains why his CPOE is lower than that of most players on this list (the higher total of passes increases the chances he'll exceed expectation at a lower rate due to sheer volume). When he sees there isnt anything there, he bails the pocket and gets a substantial gain with his running savvy. You might remember that in 2019, there was a soap opera with the Vikings, as both Thielen and Diggs were frustrated with Kirk Cousins, unhappy that he wasn't finding them on deep passes. By the end of the year, he and Goff had the same number of INTs. In 2018, only 4.8% of Goff's attempts went for over 25 air yards. Fields here is reading the curl from his #2 receiver and the ball should be out at the top of his drop. In Week 17 of the 2020 NFL season, the Titans needed to secure a victory against the Texans. While he had good WRs, a key reason Cousins didn't have better stats in 2018 was that the Vikings had a bad offensive line. But, the deep completions that he did hit did result in a boost to his passing numbers. Murray's magic, Dak's patience and Allen's deep ball: Here's how the NFL's top QBs are dominating in 2021 These eight QB are playing at an elite level, but no two styles Watson's herculean efforts in 2020 helped elevate some of his top targets in his first NFL season without DeAndre Hopkins. New York Jets. One of the strongest arguments supporting the theory that the reason the Rams can't throw deep bombs is due to the loss of Brandin Cooks doesn't even involve looking at the Rams themselves. So, I wonder if Kinsley will be any more impressed by him this year. The football IQ and ability at the line of scrimmage appears underrated and is something that should progress close to a master level at some point given the work ethic. What's most remarkable is Cousins' ability to remain steady when faced with a major increase in high-difficulty throws. His overall ranking was 20th. Wilsons 33:3 TD:INT ratio was tops among FBS quarterbacks in 2020. Deep attempts: 26-of-54, 931 yards, 9:3 TD-to-INT ratio, 110.7 passer rating. There is a lot to like about Thompson-Robinson. Quarterbacks such as Rivers (44.7%), Derek Carr (42.9%), Kirk Cousins (44.1%) all had higher deep completion rates better than Mahomes. 2020 NFL Advanced Passing. In NE, Brady was only a dangerous deep passer when he had a very specific type of WR. Chad Reuter forecasts five potential trades that would make sense involving Round 1 picks in the 2023 NFL Draft. As noted above, in 2018 Goff wasn't just pretty good at deep passes, he had the very best completion rate in the NFL on passes over 20 yards. And yet, his numbers still remained startlingly similar. As we all recall, Allen was a dynamite passer in 2020 and one with a penchant for making the big play. Brady has the most deep attempts in the NFL this year, at a whopping 83 attempts. He finished 3rd in the NFL in QBR that season, behind Wentz and Case Keenum. Trevor Lawrence is being touted as a generational talent, Zach Wilson is throwing across his body at his Pro Day, and Mac Jones may have the eye of Kyle Shanahan, but if Justin Fields is the fourth quarterback taken, some team is going to get a steal. 2020 Goff: 67.0% compl, 263.5 yards per game, 7.2 yards per attempt, 20 TDs, 13 INTs, 90 rating, 58.4 QBR, 6.27 ANY/A. Here, Fields attaches to the rail route from his running back down the sideline. Thanks to the threatening presence of running backs Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, Mayfield racked up 426 deep passing yards on play-action passes, tying for second-most in the league. The WR talent was undeniable. Deep throws are only a small percentage of a QB's throws. And finally, coming in on the low end of downfield attempts can hurt a quarterback's chances of earning a spot here, as well. Plus, an overlooked signing that could completely revitalize a once-proud defense. What did we learn about TCU WR Quentin Johnston and Tennessee QB Hendon Hooker? He throws into windows with timing very well. Without DJax on the team in 2017, Cousins really struggled on deep passes in 2017. QB Deep attempts: 26-of-64, 771 yards, 9:3 TD-to-INT ratio, 106.2 passer rating Comp: 40.6% xComp: 33.5% CPOE: +7.1% All right Bills fans, put away When passing the ball, Thompson-Robinson is best within rhythm. The reason that Cousins has 8.3 yards per attempt in 2020, which is over a yard higher than Goff's average, very likely isn't because Cousins is a more talented deep ball passer. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports. He can throw off platform and does so here flowing away from the spot and being accurate with a nice touch pass. Carr led the NFL with 11 completions, 426 passing yards and six touchdowns on deep passes against the blitz in 2020. Ben Roethlisberger in 2018 went deep frequently. Somehow, Justin Fields has seemed to have turned into the forgotten man amongst the quarterbacks of the 2021 NFL Draft class. The transformation of Watson from being one of the worst deep ball passers in the NFL to one of the best in such a short time period is rather amazing. Brady's passing yards per game decline every year from 2015 to 2019.

One reason Cousins put up good numbers this year was because Justin Jefferson was great and very explosive both before and after the catch. All right Bills fans, put away your torches and pitchforks. Chief among them: completion percentage over expectation (CPOE), which represents the difference between a passer's expected completion percentage (determined by evaluating a number of factors, including pressure, time to throw, distance of attempt and separation between targeted receiver and nearest defender) and actual completion percentage. Cousins led the NFL in deep passing yards from snaps taken under center last season with 500 and tied for the lead in deep passing touchdowns out of play-action with five even though his receivers averaged just 1.6 yards of separation on deep targets, the fifth-fewest in the entire league. In fact, the stats for Cooks playing with Watson are virtually identical to his numbers in 2018 playing with Goff. As an individual player, Cousins is probably about the same guy he was back in his supposedly poor 2018 season.

GM Mike Mayock was not shy about expressing the confidence he has in Carr this offseason. That makes him a threat in all areas of the field and while he may have some growing pains, the ceiling is pretty special. They used more TEs and focused on running the ball with Dalvin Cook. Once Cooks was gone, Brady went deep far less frequently and remained mediocre in his accuracy. He is showing again in 2021, that he is one of the most accurate after AS decided to run plays longer than 5-10 yards. He got away with it in college and despite a few mistakes, he made the correct reads. Nick Shook discusses the biggest offseason signings and losses -- as well as one burning question -- for each team in the conference. Deep attempts:26-of-67, 948 yards, 13:4 TD-to-INT ratio, 101.2 passer rating. The Rams saw this firsthand as some of Brady's deep passes against the Rams were just strange. WebNFL qb deep ball passing accuracy. It is highly recommended that you use the latest versions of a supported browser in order to receive an optimal viewing experience. He was terrible in clean pockets and at both open window and tight window throws. He might look like milktoast at times and come up small in big games. This was a solid improvement compared to his 39% accuracy on such passes in 2017.

Interpreted as: most passing A key part of determining expected completion percentage is the separation of a receiver from the nearest defender at the time a pass arrives. Here, Thompson-Robinson works through his progressions and decides that a dump off makes the most sense, resulting in a positive gain. One of Tannehill's key missed opportunities came in the playoff loss, when AJ Brown got wide open on a deep go route and put his hand up, but Tannehill never saw it and didn't throw the pass to him, possibly costing the Titans a much needed TD. Things didn't improve in the home playoff loss to the Titans. Interpreted as: NFL qb deep ball passing accuracy. But, the question isn't whether Burrow is on track to the HOF. The Dagger concept (a backside dig with a go routes on the inside to clear the safety) is one that UCLA dominated with last season. I bet if you put Jared Goff on the 2020 Tampa Bay Bucs, he also would post good stats. Again, its complete and its the right read, its just a little slow. The Vikings had 6 games against top 16 passing defenses and 10 games against bottom 16 pass defenses. In his third mock of the 2023 NFL Draft, Lance Zierlein projects the Texans will pass on taking a quarterback at No. The threat of the run will always give opposing defenders pause when reacting to whatever coach Kliff Kingsbury has drawn up for Arizona, but Murray is far from just a runner. The browser you are using is no longer supported on this site. This is just a variation on the back of the envelope calculation we did above where we used 35 yards and 30 yards to estimate the impact of deep balls. On his way to an AFC championship victory, Burrow completed 186 of his 240 short pass attempts in 2021 for 1,858 yards and 12 touchdowns. Brady finished outside the top 10 in QBR for the 1st time. He calls it the Deep Ball Project and last year associated with Football Outsiders on it.

Progressions are also a major positive for Thompson-Robinson. Even Watson with his high volume of bombs in 2019 only went deep 11% of the time. Diggs might not have liked how often he was targeted in 2019, but when Cousins went deep that season to Thielen and Diggs, the Vikings were able to find some success. Desperate to supplement their weak WR group, the Patriots traded a 2nd round pick in the middle of 2019 to acquire Mohamed Sanu from the Falcons.

Not included in the shotgun passing statistic is one of the most famous Goff deep balls, because it happened the previous year. Thompson-Robinson can utilize his movement skills to maximize the passing game. Playing with Diggs and Thielen in 2019, Cousins was accurate on 18 out of 35 deep bombs. Rankings season is in full swing at PFF, and analysts are working around the clock to bring you lists on every measurable statistic that we track. When Stefanski took over, the Vikings went to more of an under center, play action scheme. Regardless, Carr had a strong response for anyone questioning his ability to throw the deep ball in 2020. It is more of an alert and clear out than a throw thats usually made. It's that time of the offseason once again! Webname season tm gp cmp att pct yds avg yds/g td td% int int% sck scky rate; tom brady: 2021 Nevertheless, Brady's stats illustrate how if a team has good WRs, you can put up good passing stats even if the QB misses on many of those deep opportunities. Watson was accurate on 10 out of 29 attempts over 25 yards, a 34.5% rate, still below average. My point is simply that I don't accept the conclusion that he's really a "20% quarterback". He unleashes a bomb to Brandin Cooks about 49 yards downfield for a TD, with a speedy CB trailing close behind Cooks. Still, Stroud lit up the box score at Ohio State in 2022, owning a 94.2 deep grade at PFF. He ended up just outside the top 10 along with Matthew Stafford and Mahomes. Putrid. In 2015, Stafford played with Megatron, Golden Tate and one of the best pass catching RBs in the league, Theo Riddick. Strongest Arm in NFL: The 11 Most Powerful QB Arms Ever - Fa on Jan 13, 2021, 4:22pm CST The offensive line gives Goff a pristine pocket and he loads up and unleashes a rainmaker. If you generate enough big plays, it dilutes the turnovers.